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I’ve been giving my national election predictions for longer than I care to remember, and what I care to remember even less are the many times I was totally wrong. (Sort of like today’s pollsters.)

There is something deep within every American voter nudging us toward prognostication. Armchair political scientists like myself and my readers will deny any such ability exists, and that even the most reliable and accurate predictions are really just educated guesses accompanied by a large dollop of luck.

All of the above is true, but just as every card player believes they’ve developed a winning system, every roulette player has a surefire method of calling the right number, every regular horse player swears they’ve go a system to spot the true dropdown in a race and beat the long odds.

They are right about as often as some of our pollsters.

However, politics is not gambling unless you’re spending your own money on a campaign. After decades as a grassroots activist, I’m convinced “political” people don’t mind donating or even funding campaigns if they can, because they enjoy what they are doing, aside from their beliefs. Most of all, they love working the fields, making…